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Which population figure is right?

By James Burfield, SEO consultant, Bath · Page updated

All of them, usually. A place can have three or four populations that are each entirely correct, because each measures a different boundary. This is the single biggest source of disagreement between published population figures, and most sources never say which one they used.

The four boundaries

BoundaryWhat it coversWho defines it
The placeThe settlement itself, roughly its built-up core. The everyday sense of a town.No single authority. Ours come from GeoNames.
The local authorityThe council area. Often takes in neighbouring towns and a good deal of countryside.Statute. ONS publishes the estimates.
The built-up areaContinuous development, where buildings sit less than 200m apart.ONS Census 2021. We hold these for England outside London, and Wales.
The agglomerationThe wider urban mass, including places that have grown into each other.Varies. Ours are the World Gazetteer's 2005 definitions.

There is no correct choice among these. There is only a stated one and an unstated one.

Built-up area figures cover England excluding London, and Wales. ONS could not identify individual settlements inside Greater London with this method and removed its 33 built-up areas from the analysis; Scotland and Northern Ireland define settlements differently, so merging them in would be a false equivalence. Where we hold no BUA figure, the row simply does not appear.

Worked examples

London

What you meanPopulationSource
The place itself
The populated settlement, roughly the built-up core.
8,961,989 GeoNames
The agglomeration
The continuous urban area, including places that have grown into it.
12,599,561 World Gazetteer (2005)
The place in 2005
The same settlement twenty years earlier.
7,421,209 World Gazetteer (2005)

London in full →

Leeds

What you meanPopulationSource
The place itself
The populated settlement, roughly the built-up core.
536,280 GeoNames
The local authority
The Leeds council area, which can take in surrounding towns and countryside.
845,189 ONS mid-year estimate (2024)
The agglomeration
The continuous urban area, including places that have grown into it.
1,880,819 World Gazetteer (2005)
The place in 2005
The same settlement twenty years earlier.
455,123 World Gazetteer (2005)

Leeds in full →

Reading

What you meanPopulationSource
The place itself
The populated settlement, roughly the built-up core.
318,014 GeoNames
The local authority
The Reading council area, which can take in surrounding towns and countryside.
182,907 ONS mid-year estimate (2024)
The built-up area
Continuous development, where buildings sit less than 200m apart. Drawn from where the buildings are, not where the council boundary is.
203,795 ONS Census 2021 (2021)
The place in 2005
The same settlement twenty years earlier.
244,070 World Gazetteer (2005)

Reading in full →

Conwy

What you meanPopulationSource
The place itself
The populated settlement, roughly the built-up core.
3,873 GeoNames
The local authority
The Conwy council area, which can take in surrounding towns and countryside.
114,891 ONS mid-year estimate (2024)
The place in 2005
The same settlement twenty years earlier.
3,890 World Gazetteer (2005)

Conwy in full →

Where the gap is widest

These are the places where our current figures diverge most between definitions. Every row is a place whose population you could state two ways and be right twice.

PlaceCountyAs a placeAs an authorityGap
HaltonBorough of Halton2,218131,54359.3×
ConwyConwy3,873114,89129.7×
CaerphillyCaerphilly County Borough31,060176,8655.7×
WokinghamWokingham41,143187,2004.5×
FalkirkFalkirk35,310160,0204.5×
WiganBorough of Wigan175,405344,9224.2×
WarwickWarwickshire37,267154,8894.2×
WalsallWalsall172,141295,6784.2×
SouthwoldSuffolk3,6803.9×
RotherhamRotherham117,618276,5953.9×
HarbyNottinghamshire2503.9×
LeatherheadSurrey43,5443.8×

Compare two places

Comparing places only means anything if both figures use the same boundary. Put two places side by side and see them under each definition at once.

Why we make a fuss about this

Because it is the difference between a number you can cite and one you cannot. When we added a 2005 comparison to our place pages, 58 of them showed growth that was pure boundary artefact: Preston appeared to have grown 64%, Swansea 76%. Neither had. Those figures are now suppressed and labelled rather than published.

Further reading: how many people live in London (four correct answers, nine million apart) and what a built-up area is.

Common questions

What is the difference between a city and a town in the UK?
A city holds letters patent from the monarch; there are exactly 76. A town has no legal definition at all. Size plays no part in either, which is why St Davids is a city at under two thousand residents and Reading is not at over three hundred thousand.
Why do population figures for the same place differ?
Because a place has several honest boundaries: the local authority, the built-up area drawn from where buildings stand, and the everyday settlement. Each carries a different figure, and most published lists mix them without saying which they used.
What counts as a built-up area?
Land ONS classes as irreversibly urban from Ordnance Survey data, with buildings generally under 200 metres apart. It follows the bricks rather than the council boundary, which is why it is usually the figure people mean and rarely the one they quote.
Which population figure should I use?
The one whose boundary matches your question, stated alongside the number. Comparing places needs one geography for every row. Policy questions want the local authority, because that is the unit with a council and a budget. Quoting a figure without its boundary is how lists end up disagreeing.